Tag Archives: Election 2010

Dogs, Cats, the Left, the Right and Election 2010

by Bill Golden
Bill4DogCatcher.com

E. J. Donne, Jr., editorialized in the Washington Post: “The left needs a right brain“.

As E. J. Donne sees the Democratic challenge, which he has no problem identifying as the Left:

“On the one hand, independent voters are turning on them. Democratic House candidates enjoyed a 51 percent to 43 percent advantage over Republicans in 2008. This time, the polls show independents tilting Republican by substantial margins.”

“But Democrats are also suffering from a lack of enthusiasm among their own supporters. Poll after poll has shown that while Republicans are eager to cast ballots, many Democrats seem inclined to sit out this election.”

“The dilemma is that arguments that might motivate partisans could further alienate the less-ideological independents. The classic formulation holds that the party can either move left to excite its base or move to the center to win back independents.”

As I see it:  The Left are cats and the Right are dogs.

Cats refuse to cooperate unless they feel like it. They have no sense of common bonding, and they are nice to you only when they want something. Disagreements happen. Kick a cat and it will leave the room or scratch you … maybe never to come back. They don’t handle rough treatment well. When bored they create mischief among themselves.

Dogs crave togetherness. They easily follow a pack leader. Bonding is what they do — just because you are another dog or seem friendly to dogs. Kick a dog and he may growl and bite but it will remain with the pack. Abuse happens … but dogs have short memories. Dogs know that disagreement can sometimes be rough. They react accordingly but do not run away.

The Left are cats. The Right are dogs.

The Left seldom rallies around an idea, only issues. The Right may be dogmatic but some central core tenets of belief unite. A few choice words are enough to equate to the secret hand shake that calls forth unity.

The Left unites only for a cause celebre and then drifts away. There are no tenets of faith or belief on the Left — loyalty is to self and not to group.

The energized few can overwhelm the disengaged majority. Like them or not, the Tea Party has focused on staying energized and on building a sense of community.

I am an independent. I vote for the person and not the party. Voted Bush in 2000 and voted Kerry in 2004, then McCain in 2008. I voted for the Democrat as my governor and the Republican as my senator. I am an independent.

As an independent I see little to like on either side at the moment. But most definitely I see absolutely no change that I can believe in.

The Democrat’s core challenge: I can vote blind for a Republican and I feel 80% assured that I know what the candidate will do once elected. A dog is a dog. The Democrats represent no core philosophy. I would never pull the lever for a Democrat ‘just because’. Future demographics are working against the mostly aged and caucasian Republican party. Yet the Democrats cannot seem to master even a simple message that they themselves believe in — that is the real challenge of Election 2010 for the Left, aka the Democrats.

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Independents Gaining Momentum As More Americans Reject Party Politics

By Bill Golden
Bill4DogCatcher.com and JeffersonConservative.com

My prediction is that there will be 5-6 independent senators in the U.S. Congress by 2014, many or most will be former Republicans.

These are the Republicans that are generally conservative in nature but centrist in their ability to work with others on that great playground that we call American politics — where rules are usually for the other guy.

Independents will have major impact in 2012 based on their ability to provide critical votes; there should be at least 3 if not 4 independent senators within Congress.

Those parties that do not move to the middle will find their efforts defeated within these critical few votes.

Outside of the senate, independents are picking up some momentum across the country. Recent successful ballot initiatives like California’s no political party primary referendum will help speed up the success of independents and independent-minded members of political parties as voters will no longer have to pick the lesser of two evils (on most days).

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From this morning’s USAToday:

“Independents gain favor in governors’ races”
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/2010-07-05-independents_N.htm

Excerpted:

There are more signs of centrists stirring as national politics remain sharply polarized, a factor some candidates cite for leaving or being pushed from their old allegiances. Florida Gov. Charlie Crist, who became an independent candidate for the Senate when the GOP seemed certain to nominate Tea Party favorite Marco Rubio, now leads the three-way field. In California last month, voters approved a constitutional amendment to make primaries open and non-partisan, a measure intended to boost moderate contenders.

“One of the things we’re seeing this year is a voter revolt against the extremes in both parties and a desire to find candidates who can be elected from the middle and who can govern from the middle,” says Eliot Cutler, a former Carter administration official who is running as an independent for governor of Maine.

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California | Proposition 14: Do Away With Political Primaries

by Bill Golden
Bill4DogCatcher.com aka JeffersonConservatives.com

A good idea! … California will offer voters the chance to radically change how leadership gets elected by eliminating political primaries.

Passage of Proposition 14 would establish a general primary where all voters vote for their favorite, without regard to political party.

Under Proposition 14, the top two vote recipients would run against each in the general election.

This could result in:

  • Democrat vs Democrat
  • Republican vs Republican
  • Democrat vs Republican
  • Independent vs …

This could also open the way for third parties to be more successful.

One line of thought in support of Proposition 14 is that our current system encourages the fringe of both Left and Right — political primaries tend to focus on the organizational and rhetorical capabilities of emotional and hot button issues.

An open primary where candidates must appeal to the entire electorate should produce candidates more willing to talk straighter sooner and without regard to pandering to the political extremes.

This is a good idea and gets my vote of approval. I encourage others to support similar approaches across the USA.

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From Ballotpedia.org:

Specifically, it would provide for a “voter-nominated primary election” for each state elective office and congressional office in California. Voters could vote in the primary election for any candidate for a congressional or state elective office without regard to the political party affiliations of either the candidate or the voter. Candidates could choose whether or not to have their political party affiliation displayed on the ballot.

The proposition also prohibits political parties from nominating candidates in a primary, although political parties would be allowed to endorse, support or oppose candidates. Elections for presidential candidates, and for members of political party committees and party central steering committees would not fall under the “top two” system.

Californians defeated Proposition 62 in 2004, a similar measure, by 54-46%. State of Washington voters approved a very similar measure, Initiative 872, in 2004, while Oregon voters rejected Measure 65, also a similar measure, in 2008.

The main argument supporters make in favor of Proposition 14 is that it might cause voters to elect more moderate members of the California State Legislature. Opponents make two main arguments. They say that that in states where a similar system is in use, it has not resulted in the election of more moderate politicians, and that if the Proposition 14 is approved, it will result in the destruction of California’s minor and independent political parties.

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Election 2010 – Follow the Money. Find the Influence.

The Center for Responsive Politics is celebrating its 27th anniversary as the nation’s premier research group tracking money in U.S. politics and its effect on elections and public policy. Nonpartisan, independent and nonprofit, the organization aims to create a more educated voter, an involved citizenry and a more transparent and responsive government.

The Center for Responsive Politics (CRP) mission is to:

  • Inform citizens about how money in politics affects their lives
  • Empower voters and activists by providing unbiased information
  • Advocate for a transparent and responsive government

The CRP pursues its mission largely through OpenSecrets.org, a comprehensive resource for federal campaign contributions, lobbying data and analysis.

CRP relies on financial support from a combination of foundation grants, individual contributions and income earned from custom research and licensing data for commercial use. The Center accepts no contributions from businesses, labor unions or trade associations. You can support the work of the Center directly by contributing through OpenSecrets.org.

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2010 Dog Catcher Predictions – Politics and Election 2010

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Politics – Democrats
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Democrats will miraculously survive the elections of 2010. But there will be significant turnover and new faces within the party after the elections.

The Democrats will get both sober and somber about presenting a unified front just after the beginning of 2010.

The Dems will do their best to finalize their health care bill passage. Both the House and the Senate will make compromises to pass it, realizing that if it doesn’t happen then it won’t happen for decades to come.

Democrats realize that they have squandered numerous major opportunities through 2009 and since the 2008 elections. They know that they will be facing 2010 voters comprised of a significantly hostile portion of the population, even within their own party.

They know that late 2010 promises to be ugly economically and that only a big fat liar would even suggest that they have a solution. So the Democrats will spend more time talking and seeking to coalesce around potential solutions. This is how they will want to be seen by the American voter in the 2010 elections. Their strategy will be to do as little as possible to create issues, and to let Republicans be Republicans — the Party of Anger and no new ideas.

!! Politics are so fluid that I will update my predictions in mid-July 2010.

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TEA Partyers
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The TEA Party machine will actively run candidates under its banner in 12-15 states. These will all be states with heavy concentrations of Republicans.

TEA Party candidates will also run under other banners, such as “Conservative Party” (Virginia) or as independents.

Whereever TEA Party candidates run it will undermine Republican candidates. I believe that TEA Partyers will actively seek to target Republican candidates as their #1 opponent, since registered Republican voters represent the greatest source of votes for each.

Any seats lost in Congress will go to either the Democrats or to the TEA Partyers.

!! Politics are so fluid that I will update my predictions in mid-July 2010.

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Republicans
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Republicans generally will be glad that 2010 is over.

Huge divisions will emerge in California, Colorado, Florida, Illinois, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, and Texas.

Republicans will become more conservative and more harsh in their rhetoric. Their #1 and #2 issues will be tax cuts to boost the economy, and their promise to repeal any health care act signed by Obama. That’s it. No other national message will emerge from the Republicans in 2010.

Republican rhetoric will only fuel growth of independents and TEA Partyers. Both will be self-inflicted torpedoes in the sides of the Republican warship.

Republicans remain in deep, deep denial about how they got to where they are. Wall Street Journal polling of late December 2009 paints two pictures of the Republican party. Voter trends favor generic Republican positions on issues over the Democratic position. However, when asked to give an approval rating of the performance of the president, the Democratic Congress, specific political leadership positions, etc., etc., the Republicans finished the year with the lowest approval rating of any of these, a whopping 5% approval rating … lower than even Nancy Pelosi personal rating.

!! Politics are so fluid that I will update my predictions in mid-July 2010.

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2010 Elections
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Democrats will lose 16-20 seats in the House and 1-2 in the Senate.

Republicans may pick up seats lost by the Democrats, or not. Seats lost by the Democrats are more likely to be won by TEA Partyers and self-described independents.

The Democrats will survive the elections of 2010 with control over both houses of Congress.

!! Politics are so fluid that I will update my predictions in mid-July 2010.

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