Making predictions about elections as volatile as 2012 is a sure way to end up embarrassed when it is all over.
There is plenty of time yet for stupid shenanigans and for events to change the playing field.
As I see it now, this will be the 2012 election results on election day: Democrats keep the Senate and pick up 1-2 seats; Democrats take back the House with a slim majority of some 15-25 seats; and President Obama gets reelected with a 5-8% margin and 340-350 electoral college votes.
Third party candidates will draw off no more than 3% of the popular vote.
Since ‘conservatives’ greatly outnumber ‘liberals’ in the USA (40%-21%) then I believe some soul-searching is in order to bring conservatism back as a viable political philosophy … one that even conservatives are willing to vote for, as well as a few moderates.